The 25-year pact proposed for 4 years by Beijing to Tehran, with Russia’s tacit military blessing, will shake Eurasian geopolitics. It involves strategic exchanges with its currencies: hydrocarbons from Iran for Chinese investments of $ 400 billion in infrastructure that are a defeat for Trump and his ally Netanyahu.
Since the resurrection of Russia from the geopolitical cemetery and the irresistible rise of China, both the Democrat Obama and the Republican Trump have made two serious geostrategic mistakes in Eurasia, amid the global and domestic decline of the United States that is experiencing a surreptitious civil war and that others equate it with a class war and / or cultural war.
Obama’s grave mistake was having thrown Russia into the arms of China, countries that have formed a strategic association whose scope and scope are not known to the general public.
Hierarchically, Obama’s serious geostrategic error goes beyond the other mistake made by Trump, spurred on by his great ally, the first Israeli, Benjamin Netanyahu, a co-religionist of his Talmudic son-in-law Jared Kushner.
Netanyahu pushed Trump to break the creative nuclear deal with Iran – forged by Obama, from 5P + 1: the five permanent members of the Security Council plus Germany – to apply the “maximum pressure” of suffocating economic sanctions and force them into a new treaty favorable to Tel Aviv, which forced Tehran to throw itself into the arms of Beijing.
Trump’s worst strategic mistake, in addition to breaking the agreement that Obama had concluded on the Iranian nuclear dispute, was having ordered the assassination, through a drone, of the iconic General Soleimani and his Iraqi companion Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis, who perhaps left no more option to the Iranian Shiite theocracy to accelerate the last details of its strategic pact with China for a quarter of a century.
The two mistakes of Obama and Trump must be rolling in their grave to the English geo-politologist Halford MacKinder, who smashed all his Eurasian axioms on which the Anglo-Saxon dominance of the United States and the United Kingdom was based to control the world. Interestingly, the rapprochement between Iran and two superpowers, Russia – the maximum nuclear superpower, in the era of its hypersonic weapons – and China, the maximum geoeconomic superpower – when its GDP is measured by purchasing power and / or parity power of purchase, exposes the Eurasian orphanhood of the US that has suffered serious setbacks throughout the Greater Middle East and who only has the random lifeguard from India, who, incidentally, maintains excellent relations with Russia.
Oil Price’s Simon Watkins reports that a year ago Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Zarif visited his Chinese counterpart Wang Li to present him with a roadmap on a 25-year “comprehensive strategic partnership” between China and Iran, which is added to their previous 2016 agreement.
Among the alleged secret elements of the pact signed a year ago, “China will invest 280,000 million dollars to develop the oil, gas and petrochemical sectors of Iran” and that will be accrued in the first period of five years of the total of 25.
In the first five-year period, China will also invest $ 120 billion to improve transportation – bullet trains and subways – and manufacturing infrastructure in Iran, in exchange for Chinese companies buying oil/gas / petrochemical products at a guaranteed minimum discount. 12% and other types of econometric formulations that favor China.
It stands out that China will have the grace to defer up to 2 years the payment of its purchases that will be made in its renminbi/yuan currency. This item has the virtue of circumventing the payment swift system controlled by the West.
The Iranians are legendary merchants and will already find creative outlets for exchanging the Chinese currency from Qatar to Istanbul and receiving hard currencies, as the renminbi/yuan strengthens and internationalizes. Iran’s infrastructure will be aligned with the “multi-generational geopolitical project” of the Silk Road.
It should be noted that Iran has 15 borders: seven land borders – Afghanistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Iraq, Pakistan, Turkey and Turkmenistan; two in the Caspian Sea: Russia and Kazakhstan; and its maritime limits in the Persian Gulf with the six Arab petro-monarchies – Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar and Oman – giving a total of 15 Iranian borders that will share a common space with the 15 borders of China.
Iran’s problem is not its geopolitical connectivity, but its geo-financial suffocation that has led to a brutal devaluation of its currency, the rial, and Trump’s unbreathable sanctions for the export of its hydrocarbons.
The secret pact for a quarter of a century not only dilutes Trump’s multidimensional war against Iran but positions him as a pivot of the first order in the shared space of the borders of 30 countries that share Tehran and Beijing.
China feels today with the ability to circumvent Trump’s sanctions and even evade the second phase of trade negotiations with the United States.
The pact has made the US and Israel nervous, to such an extent that the struggling secretary of state, Zionist evangelist and former CIA director Mike Pompeo went to pressure Netanyahu to abandon all Chinese investment plans in Israel.
Trump has refocused, for electoral reasons, on delivering a tsunami of sanctions against China, under a thousand pretexts, in particular, against Huawei 5G.
Trump has led the tensions to place two aircraft carriers in the South China Sea and to stimulate the sale of arms by Lockheed Martin to Taiwan, while the US urges India against China and remotely agitates the Uighurs in the Islamic region autonomy from China’s Xinjian, not to mention Trump’s pressure on the Anglosphere in general – from the United Kingdom to Australia – to abandon the presence of Huawei, under the justification of the new Hong Kong security law.
The Duran judges that China’s agreement with Iran constitutes “a huge blow to the US aspirations in Central Asia.“
After a year, actually four, The New York Times – even more, questioned than ever before by its own columnists who criticize that it is based more on tweets than on analysis and research, which had given it its glory of yesteryear and diluted with his lies of mass destruction in Iraq – publishes a leaked document spiced with State Department salt but exhibiting Trump’s angst.
Among the flavourings and sweeteners to the liking of The New York Times, are the port facilities that Iran will grant to China, where two ports along the coast of the Oman Sea stand out, in particular, in Jask, outside the Strait of Hormuz, entrance to the Persian Gulf “that would give China a strategic point of advantage where much of the world’s oil transits.”
Another concern from The New York Times centres on the joint Iran-Russia naval exercise last December in the Gulf of Oman, which was joined by China’s Xining missile destroyer.
Future annals of history in the West will ask: “Who lost Iran?” It is certain that Russia and China beat Iran.